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Federal funding cuts; attacks on equity, immigrants, the guideline of law, and the country's democracy; a brand-new tax expense; and the growing usage of synthetic intelligence are just a few of the elements that have actually overthrown the nonprofit world. In the middle of this upheaval, how can funders and their grantees get ready for 2026 and beyond? In this special package, you'll hear from foundation leaders and major donors about giving trends in the coming year and efforts to react to Trump administration risks.
You'll discover bold forecasts from leaders and thinkers throughout the sector about what lies ahead, including what the sector will look like 5 years from now, and how to react to what promises to be another unmatched year. It's time to shed our worry and acknowledge that those who want change will stop working if the individuals closest to the money do not have the guts to bear the most risk.
Kathleen Enright, president & CEO, Council on Foundations The humanitarian sector should be clear-eyed about the difficulties ahead: the pattern of targeted attacks and government overreach developed to stifle our most fundamental liberties. John Palfrey, president, MacArthur Structure Nonprofits are addicted to the hamster wheel of fundraising, and in 2026, AI may supersize both the wheel and the addiction.
Michael McAfee, CEO, PolicyLink It's difficult to imagine passage anytime quickly of legislation needing higher payment rates. Bella DeVaan and Chuck Collins coordinate the Charity Reform Initiative, Institute for Policy Researches Communication is no longer background noise. It's a battleground. Matt Watkins, CEO, Watkins Public Affairs Funders will converge around pluralism, not since it's simple but since it's vital.
Dimple Abichandani, author of A New Period of Philanthropy. Lighthouse illustration by Greg Mably for The Chronicle of Philanthropy.
Findings from Church Mutual can help assist nonprofits as they browse 2026 and changes in generational providing. In December of 2025, the "2026 Charitable Providing in America" study was conducted by Church Mutual, taking responses from 1,010 adults who contribute financially to nonprofits and other charitable causes. According to a short article on the research study from NonProfitPro, Church Mutual indicates several crucial patterns within the not-for-profit fundraising world, including the disconcerting reality that donors are planning to scale back their providing in 2026.
With that, here are five essential takeaways from the Church Mutual 2026 study: The Church Mutual survey discovered houses of praise continue to take in the lion's share of contributions. All four generations represented (Gen Z, millennials, Gen X, and Child Boomers) contributed mostly to places of praise, making up 74% of charitable donations.
Organizations that have religious ties ought to stress this connection to donors, specifically if they actively support homes of praise or schools. Another crucial finding from the study was that donors tended to make their contributions toward the end of the year (OctoberDecember). Across the 4 generations, end-of-year donations made up the highest portion, with JanuaryMarch taking 2nd location, followed by AprilJune, then JulySeptember.
Additionally, out of the four generations, Gen Z was most likely to offer throughout the slowest time of the year (JulySeptember). Those who work in the not-for-profit space must bear in mind of the end-of-year influx in contributions, which suggests that OctoberDecember campaigns such as Giving Tuesday occasions, matches, etc, could generate a fundraising windfall.
That stated, "slow-down" durations need to not be disregarded, as the more youthful generations might still be inclined to offer even when the older ones are not. The study contains an area that details "contribution expectations" for 2026, and it is these findings that might sound alarm bells. On the one hand, around half of donors (48%) stated they will not make any modifications to their monetary contributions, with Boomers being the group more than likely to leave their charitable giving unchanged.
Millennials were identified as the group probably to cut their giving, whereas Gen Z was not only identified as the group least likely to cut their offering, but likewise the group most likely to increase their giving in 2026. Church Mutual has a few sections dedicated to the main financial issues of donors, something that falls beyond the scope of this article.
One finding that nonprofits must likewise be conscious of is that a majority of donors have issues about the financial health of the groups they support. Church Mutual discovered that 54% of donors are stressed about the monetary health of the recipients of their contributions. By generation, Gen Z was the most concerned, followed by millennials and Gen X respectively, while Boomers were the least worried.
They need to be prepared to attend to more youthful donors' issues and be proactive in resolving any issues affecting the company internally. Doing so might make a difference in winning over more youthful donors during financially unpredictable times. While lower financial contributions might be uneasy for nonprofits, there might be some good news.
When asked if they would increase "effort and time" to help in other ways ought to they lower their financial contributions, a bulk of donors showed they would; 26% said they were "most likely" and 32% stated "somewhat likely," equating to 58% of donors overall. The study suggests these responses might mean "strong capacity to convert decreased monetary offering into more volunteering, advocacy, or other non-financial support." In the face of smaller sized monetary contributions, nonprofits should lean into other channels to engage their donors.
Innovative Charitable Trends for Global HealthThere are other findings from Church Mutual that were not covered in this post, such as donation techniques and the leading financial concerns of donors, and so I motivate all those in the not-for-profit space to read through the report. The findings from Church Mutual can help guide nonprofits as they browse 2026, especially as Gen Z starts to handle a more prominent function in the offering world.
Register for the Johnson Center's e-mail newsletter! This year marks a turning point for the Johnson Center: the tenth edition of our 11 Patterns in Philanthropy report. What started in 2017 as a modest supplement to our annual report has grown into an extensively checked out and discussed publication, reaching more than 100,000 readers each year.
Usually, these articles check out brand-new shifts or developing movements throughout the field of philanthropy. For this tenth edition, nevertheless, we have taken a various technique. Instead of identifying a completely brand-new set of emerging trends, we have turned our attention backwards to review the themes that have formed our sector over the previous 10 years, and to name both withstanding shifts and new advancements.
It is also a recommendation of the moment we find ourselves in a moment of hyper disturbance, that integrates both terrific stress and anxiety about where we are headed and excellent possibility for what might come next. Our future feels more unsure than ever, however the chance to create and scale life-changing developments for our neighborhoods feels present.
As executive orders, legal contests, and legislative disputes play out, we do not have a clear photo of how much federal funding has been rescinded or withheld from nonprofits and neighborhoods. We do not understand the number of nonprofits have actually closed or will close their doors, how many staff have actually lost their jobs, or the number of neighborhoods have lost access to important services.
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